ELECTION 2020, EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED

ELECTION 2020, EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED

I have followed politics since I was a teenager in the 1950's.  It is very much akin to being addicted to a soap opera.  It is constantly filled with battles, drama and the outcomes are never assured.  The Presidential election of 2020 will be no exception.

This election for President would seem to be pretty straight forward---a Trump-Pence ticket against a Democratic slate yet to be determined.

I don't think so.

I believe something dramatic will happen within the next year to alter the trajectory of the 2020 election for President of the United States.  There are several possibilities:

1.  Trump is impeached (Not likely.)
2.  Trump resigns because of his criminal exposure or that of his family. (More likely.)
3.  Trump dies or is incapacitated by a stroke or heart attack which 
renders him unable to continue as President.  His unhealthy diet and unhinged behavior have to be stressing his body to the point where something may give out. (Very likely.) 
4. Trump is killed by an accident, such as a plane crash. (Slim chance.)
5. Trump is assassinated. His use of the hate-speech approach to the election has made him a lightning rod. There are a lot of people in this country who are offended by Trump's behavior and as we have seen in the past some are driven to violence. George Wallace is a good example of a candidate who used racist, hateful speech while running for President who was injured, but did not die from an assassin's attack.(Worst possible outcome.)

Donald J. Trump will definitely die at some point, we all do.  It will be really interesting to see how his "base" supporters react. If he manages to live to an old age, will his religious supporters treat him as a deity when he passes? My guess is that the Trump family will put Donald's body in a mausoleum in Trump Tower and charge the public to view his remains. 

If Donald is injured or killed  by an act of violence his white supremacy supporters, who often threaten violence themselves, are not likely to take the events lightly. If he is killed or attacked by a member of a American minority or a person from another country,  violence and bloodshed will likely result.  

Trump's recent racist rants toward women of color who serve in the U. S. Congress are incendiary and will lead to more hatred and violence. He needs to govern or resign. Since he does not know how to govern a country of more than 300 million people he would do us all a big favor if he would just shut up, resign and go back to New York.

In any event, I believe Donald J. Trump will be gone from the scene by the summer of 2020 and the scenario for the Presidential election will have changed dramatically. 

With Donald gone, Mike Pence then ascends to the Presidency and the Congress has to replace Pence as Vice-President. Mitt Romney would be the most likely Republican to be elevated to this position.  So now you would have President Mike Pence and Vice-President Mitt Romney running the country until the election.

During the run-up to the Republican National Convention Mike Pence decides he does not want to run for President. The Party elevates Romney to the Presidential Nomination and Nikki Halley is selected by the Convention to be the Vice-Presidential nominee.

A ticket of Mitt Romney and Nikki Halley would provide a formidable Republican opponent to any Democratic candidate for president.

My advice to the Democrats---Expect the unexpected.